Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 7.381669 8.133386 8.936204 9.858680 10.890959 12.012298 13.324989
2025-11-02 6.050823 7.062718 8.216261 9.633854 11.336154 13.323363 15.831644
2025-11-09 5.104635 6.251077 7.631454 9.427654 11.720214 14.571081 18.419975
2025-11-16 4.423739 5.643517 7.182782 9.287913 12.123137 15.853708 21.207624
2025-11-23 3.922938 5.186027 6.846787 9.220365 12.574794 17.220503 24.273309
2025-11-30 3.610581 4.930082 6.731362 9.412622 13.375941 19.136768 28.365552
2025-12-07 3.273401 4.596376 6.462189 9.340225 13.766797 20.485026 31.784146
2025-12-14 2.953289 4.249892 6.131767 9.127947 13.903260 21.439651 34.691851
2025-12-21 2.724071 4.011306 5.930772 9.079985 14.273023 22.783554 38.412546
2025-12-28 2.590957 3.902649 5.911488 9.307271 15.101266 24.965533 43.901904
2026-01-04 2.462116 3.786976 5.866825 9.482104 15.851853 27.095656 49.617746
2026-01-11 2.321455 3.639003 5.754478 9.526835 16.373046 28.870957 54.924359
2026-01-18 2.163964 3.453900 5.570031 9.437266 16.659370 30.282085 59.816452
2026-01-25 2.015278 3.271625 5.374849 9.308966 16.859375 31.556562 64.656662
2026-02-01 1.877527 3.096954 5.177710 9.156500 16.993913 32.717221 69.457250
2026-02-08 1.759874 2.947789 5.012493 9.045964 17.195545 34.037572 74.856405
2026-02-15 1.661892 2.825630 4.885087 8.993750 17.506259 35.625217 81.178559
2026-02-22 1.606751 2.775747 4.884694 9.188076 18.348937 38.483650 91.182322
2026-03-01 1.521584 2.664546 4.760704 9.121656 18.624907 40.103031 98.336768
2026-03-08 1.426381 2.528004 4.578008 8.917139 18.572967 40.950868 103.598195
2026-03-15 1.358073 2.437295 4.476464 8.871587 18.870645 42.670138 111.619513
2026-03-22 1.325018 2.411520 4.499818 9.093587 19.809352 46.101099 125.328792
2026-03-29 1.288164 2.375648 4.499888 9.264217 20.646818 49.402720 139.432196